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Could Strong May Deliveries Bring COMEX Silver To The Brink?

Open ornate bank vault stocked with silver bars, surrounded by flames and smoke

While May OI plays chicken with first notice day, the demand side of this story is getting LOUD. James Anderson, head of research at SD Bullion (which shares ownership with SilverTrade, so weigh accordingly), joined the SilverTrade Insider with numbers that should make every silver watcher sit up.

China: a RECORD 771 tonnes imported in March. Hong Kong: another 759. Call it 1,500 tonnes, “almost 50 million ounces, in just a matter of a month or so” (8:04). Shanghai’s vaults, which had drained below 20 million ounces, rebuilt to roughly 35 million by airtime (8:24). Somebody in the East is NOT waiting for lower prices.

Then Anderson swings for the fences. His 1970-to-now study of where silver would trade without COMEX pricing: “Had COMEX never existed, it would be around $375 right now… I think 375 is like my floor” (27:09). Understand what that is: a model’s argument about suppression, not a price promise. But pair it with the ground truth that miners pull just 7-9 ounces of silver per ounce of gold (13:55), and the “brink” question in our headline stops sounding hypothetical.

We track the delivery numbers above daily. The full Anderson interview is below.

MAY COMEX SILVER OI STILL AT 134 MILLION OZ WITH ONLY 2 DAYS REMAINING UNTIL FIRST NOTICE DAY⚠️
 
May silver Open Interest declined by only 3,868 contracts Friday, closing at 26,748 contracts.
 
July - which will become the front month for silver later this week- increased by 1,573 to 63,681 contracts.
 
While pressure is certainly increasing on COMEX silver inventory, we expect a large amount of May silver open interest to roll to the July contract today & tomorrow.
 
Another delivery month of 50-60 million ounces of silver removed from registered vaults however could bring CRIMEX to the BRINK:

CME final data table for Apr 24, 2026, showing May 2026 contract open interest at 26,748, down 3,868, with July at 63,681.

SILVER TO $350-$500?  MICHAEL OLIVER’S NOT BULLISH ENOUGH!
INVESTMENT DEMAND WILL DRIVE SILVER TO 4 FIGURES & INTO A MANIA!!

Disclosure

The SilverTrade Insider publishes market news and interviews with named analysts. Opinions expressed by contributors and interviewees are their own, and they may hold positions in the metals, miners or securities they discuss. Nothing here is investment advice.

SilverTrade is affiliated with SD Bullion, a precious-metals retailer, and SD Depository, a precious-metals storage company. Some contributors hold roles at affiliated companies. See our Editorial Policy.

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