The Federal Reserve’s announcement today at the conclusion of its December meeting has sent shockwaves through financial markets: starting December 12, the central bank will resume asset purchases by buying $40 billion in Treasury bills per month, with the pace expected to remain elevated in the months to come.
Framed as “reserve management” to rebuild ample bank reserves after quantitative tightening (QT) ended on December 1—leaving the balance sheet at $6.5 trillion—this move effectively marks a stealthy restart of quantitative easing (QE), echoing the liquidity injections of the post-2008 and pandemic eras.
Amid cooling labor data and inflation hovering above 2%, the decision has already supercharged precious metals, with gold and silver prices extending their record-breaking runs.
The Mechanics: Why QE Fuels Precious Metals
Quantitative easing floods the system with reserves, suppresses yields, and erodes the dollar’s value, driving investors to “hard money” like gold and silver as hedges against fiat debasement.
Historical precedent is clear: During QE1 (2008-2010), gold surged 50.6% from under $900 to over $1,300 per ounce. Silver’s move was even more explosive- rising 147% from $8.88 to $17/oz
The 2020-2022 rounds propelled gold past $2,000 and silver to multi-year highs.
Today’s $40 billion monthly clip—modest versus the $120 billion peak in 2020—still expands the balance sheet by $480 billion annually, amplifying liquidity and weakening the dollar (down 5-10% in prior QE episodes).
Today’s $40 billion monthly clip—modest versus the $120 billion peak in 2020—still expands the balance sheet by $480 billion annually, amplifying liquidity and weakening the dollar (down 5-10% in prior QE episodes).
Lower real yields enhance gold’s appeal, while a softer greenback tightens supply from mining exporters.
Gold: Rally Accelerates Post-Announcement
Spot gold, already up nearly 55% year-to-date, traded around $4,200 per ounce today before the announcement, down slightly 0.14% intraday to $4,202 amid profit-taking ahead of the reveal.
But the QE signal flipped sentiment: prices spiked through $4,256 post-release, with many analysts now eyeing a 10-20% Q1 2026 rally to $4,800-$5,000.
Central banks, net buyers all year (China added reserves for the 13th straight month), are likely to ramp up, viewing the purchases as dollar dilution.
ETF inflows could swell billions, as seen in QE3, bolstered by geopolitical risks and tariff talks under the new administration.
Silver: Explosive Gains on QE Liquidity Boost
Silver, the high-octane counterpart to gold, has outshone its peer all year, smashing records above $62 per ounce this week—up over 112% year-to-date and more than double January levels.
Today’s QE news amplified the surge: spot prices hit fresh highs near $61.86, March futures hit $62.29, up 1.8% intraday, as liquidity eases funding for industrial users (50% of demand from solar, EVs, electronics).
Today’s rate cut along with $40 billion in monthly QE puts silver’s sights on $70-$80, driven by massive annual silver supply deficits and green energy tailwinds.
Speculative ETF squeezes and retail frenzy, evident in recent inflows, will fuel the fire.
Broader Implications and Investor Takeaways
This QE pivot signals underlying economic fragility, potentially pressuring stocks and bonds while inflating assets further.
With Powell’s announcement that QE is back, the rally looks set to crown 2025’s bull run.
