Interviews & market analysis

Follow SilverTrade

A PERFECT STORM For Gold & Silver!? -Vince Lanci

Is Goldman Sachs warning that silver supply could be GONE within 5 years?

GoldFix’s Vince Lanci joins The SilverTrade Insider for a MUST SEE interview breaking down the SLAUGHTER IN THE BOND MARKET & what it means for gold & silver prices.

Precious metals have been SLAMMED along with bonds this week.

Is that about to change??


GoldFix publisher Vince Lanci sat down with The SilverTrade Insider today and refused the usual after the slam pep talk. The metals got hit with the bonds. The question hanging over the desk was simple: After the slaughter in duration, is the bid for gold and silver about to return, or did the paper market just teach everyone that nothing is safe at once?

Lanci’s answer was not a chart. It was a map of who is taking metal, who is taking ground, and why Treasuries no longer clear the system the way they used to.

“Precious metals got slammed with the bonds. That is the tell, not the tragedy,” Lanci said. “When the collateral everyone trusted starts bleeding, the market looks for collateral that cannot be printed and cannot be frozen. That search does not end because one session was ugly.”

The $128,000 question, as the host framed it, is what happens to a household or a fund that still treats the long bond as ballast while the physical metals market is being quietly cornered by actors who do not need permission from COMEX. Lanci did not flinch. “I do not care who wins the currency war. It is the collateral war that I care about, and right now gold is starting to win. Silver sits in the sweet spot.”

Tether is no longer a gold only story. Lanci walked the filings again for viewers who still think a stablecoin issuer vaulting metal is a novelty. A Tether affiliate is storing physical silver inside Gold.com’s Las Vegas network and has lease and trading agreements that name gold, SILVER, and any other metal the parties specify.

Bloomberg sold the gold loan book. Lanci sold the second metal. “Physical silver belonging to a Tether affiliate is being stored within Gold.com’s network,” he said. “This is not just a gold story. It is a silver story as well. When the people who print the digital dollars start leasing and storing silver in Nevada, you are watching collateral migrate.”
https://vblgoldfix.substack.com/p/breaking-tether-is-now-a-major-gold

The filings still hide the ounce count. They do not hide the intent. A private dollar printer is now a physical silver actor. That changes who sets the bid when paper sellers go home.

China is not waiting for that bid. Lanci turned to Nicaragua, where Chinese linked miners have taken concessions covering about 11 percent of the country’s land, some 1.4 million hectares across 80 licences since 2023.
https://vblgoldfix.substack.com/p/china-now-controls-11-of-nicaraguas

The licences sit on a gold rich state that also holds copper and a stack of energy transition minerals, silver among them, while Washington and Beijing fight over who owns the dirt of the Western Hemisphere. “They do not ask COMEX what an ounce is worth. They buy the ground,” Lanci said. “Eleven percent of a country is not a trade. It is a supply chain with a flag on it.” Nicaragua already ships more gold than any other state in Central America. Beijing is locking the next layer before the West finishes arguing about tariffs.

Then came Goldman Sachs, and Lanci would not let the headline run wild. The bank’s late September note did not say the planet’s last bar vanishes in 2025 plus five. It said something colder. U.S. silver output is tiny and mostly a byproduct, so tariffs and higher prices will not open new mines on a useful clock.
https://vblgoldfix.substack.com/p/the-us-has-only-5-years-of-silver

Known U.S. silver reserves would cover only about five years of current import needs. “Most U.S. silver is produced as a byproduct of other mining, limiting the response to higher silver prices,” Lanci read off the line. “Known domestic reserves would cover only about five years of current import requirements.

That is Goldman telling Washington it cannot mine its way out of a squeeze.” Tariff fear is already dragging metal into American warehouses, which makes U.S. sheets look plump and every other vault look thin. “The silver short squeeze has not even begun,” he said. “You will know it when you see it. The candles will be fat and green and they will not last days. They will last hours.”

The carnage in the bond market is the reason any of this metal even matters.
Lanci has been saying for a year that the international system is not built on currencies. It is built on collateral. For fifty years that collateral was the Treasury. This week duration was a wound.

Long bonds marked people down while gold and silver got sold beside them, which is what happens when funds are forced to raise cash and the safest paper on earth stops behaving like safety. “The international monetary system is not built on currencies. It is built on collateral,” Lanci said. “And the answer is it is increasingly becoming gold.”

Foreign official buyers would rather own something that cannot be frozen. Deficits stay structural. Yields rip, then they pretend to calm, then they rip again. “When the safest paper on earth stops behaving like safety, the market reaches for the metals that do not need a clearinghouse to stay honest. Silver gets pulled along because it is the industrial metal you can still hold in a box, and because the paper shorts against it were built for a world that no longer exists.”

Lanci will not give you a carnival number for Friday’s close. He will give you the mechanism. Tether is vaulting silver in Las Vegas. China is taking the ground in Nicaragua. Goldman is telling Washington it has about five years of homemade silver cover against imports.

The bond market is teaching everyone what fake collateral feels like.

The shorts still think they are trading a ticker. The physical market has already started trading a shortage. The slam with the bonds was not the end of the bid. It was the market showing you why the bid has to come back.

 Subscribe to Goldfix here: 

Disclosure

The SilverTrade Insider publishes market news and interviews with named analysts. Opinions expressed by contributors and interviewees are their own, and they may hold positions in the metals, miners or securities they discuss. Nothing here is investment advice.

SilverTrade is affiliated with SD Bullion, a precious-metals retailer, and SD Depository, a precious-metals storage company. Some contributors hold roles at affiliated companies. See our Editorial Policy.

Share this story

LinkedInEmail

Read next