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May COMEX Silver OI At 153 Million Oz Ahead Of First Notice Day!

COMEX futures data table with May 2026 row highlighted in red, showing open interest at 30,616, down 4,016

The countdown above is the short game. The episode below is the long one, and it’s worth both. James Anderson, head of research at SD Bullion (which shares ownership with SilverTrade, so weigh accordingly), walks through why these delivery months keep getting tighter. His tally: add ETF flows to the Silver Institute’s deficits and the market has run roughly 1.4 BILLION ounces short since 2019, not the 700 million the headlines cite (3:54).

His endgame math is blunter: “The only thing that’s really going to rectify that is a silver price of three, four hundred dollars an ounce for a sustained amount of time” (14:55). And he’s not even the most aggressive voice in the room. Bank of America’s team put out a 135-to-330 range this year (12:11). Anderson’s floor figure and BofA’s range are forecasts, not promises. The OI numbers above are neither: they’re what’s actually happening on the board, four days out from first notice.

Watch the tape Thursday. Roll, or stand. That’s the whole question.

With only 4 trading days until First Notice Day for May Silver next Thursday April 30th, Open Interest remains at 30,616 contracts.
 
OI declined by 4,016 contracts Thursday, with just over half (2,361) rolling to the July contract.
 
July OI is now 62,108 - likely to rise further over the next week as it will soon become the Front Month.
 
While COMEX Registered Silver inventory remains just shy of 80 million ounces, we expect COMEX to easily survive the May delivery period- with May OI likely to decline significantly further to 30-40 million oz by April 30th.
 
Historically unprecedented silver import demand from China however will likely continue to put severe strain on COMEX silver inventory over the months to come.

COMEX futures data table with May 2026 row highlighted in red, showing open interest at 30,616, down 4,016

Disclosure

The SilverTrade Insider publishes market news and interviews with named analysts. Opinions expressed by contributors and interviewees are their own, and they may hold positions in the metals, miners or securities they discuss. Nothing here is investment advice.

SilverTrade is affiliated with SD Bullion, a precious-metals retailer, and SD Depository, a precious-metals storage company. Some contributors hold roles at affiliated companies. See our Editorial Policy.

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